3/29/2005

A day in the life of Ebay toy pimp


On occasions, it occurs to me that my life is likely very different that most other people’s. Last Thursday I woke up shortly after 7AM, about 4 hours earlier than I have been getting up most days for the last few months. I dressed promptly and went out the door, picking up 3 of the four daily papers I currently subscribe to (yet another unusual aspect of my life).

What would get me up this early? A job interview? An early morning doctors appointment? Nothing so pedestrian, gentle reader. Last Thursday was the US launch date for Sony’s new handheld gaming device, the PSP (PlayStation Portable). Given the success I had with Nintendo DS’s last Christmas, I wasn’t going to miss out on the possible Ebay arbitrage opportunities the PSP launch might create.

I had seen the PSP at last fall’s Tokyo Game Show and I was very impressed. Sony has been having supply problems for a fair number of their products as of late (PlayStations are now only becoming regularly available in most US retailers, a mere three months after Christmas) and there have been expectations that PSP would quickly sell out.

So I hopped into my car and promptly drove off to my nearby Target arriving around 7:45. I read a little of the WSJ for a few minutes and then I walked to the door. At the door, there were approximately 9 other people waiting, like me, for the store to open. 7 of the group were men and 2 were women. After the store opened, we all walked in an orderly fashion, although it turned out the 2 women were there for something other than a PSP as they didn’t fallow the men to the electronics section. After waiting for the registers to boot up and sorting out who wanted which game, the clerks started selling the units. After 10 minutes of entering the store, I had my 1st PSP. I was second to last in the group and I just got in line again and bought another one. They had advertised that it was available to one to a customer but the clerks were interpreting that as one PSP per transaction. By 8:15, I had 2 PSPs and was on my way to another near by Target in mall more know for shootings/murders than it’s shopping ambience. As I walked into the electronics section, the department manager asked “I bet you’re here for the new system, right?” I guess I have video game player written on my head, or they don’t get very many middle aged white nerds at this Target, before 9AM…probably both. Anyway, by 9AM, I had 3 PSPs. I stopped to have breakfast and then went back to the first target and bought another PSP. I returned home, cognizant that I had approximately $1000 of inventory in my car already. I checked my real world mail and then checked what was happening on Ebay…By 11:30, approximately 1600 PSP systems were listed (although some of these may have been Japanese systems). Around noon, I went back out, hit the murder mall Target for another PSP, then drove to a nearby Toys R Us, where I bought another PSP along with 4 “barrels” of Lego Bionicle parts (it’s an exclusive Toys R Us promotion package that they only offer for a limited time and limited basis (most stores get 8-12 barrels, each barrel containing 400 Bionicle parts. This is an unusual package and contains some special pieces,…I expect that I can flip this on ebay for net margins of 100%). I had cleaned out this store of barrels the previous week, so the four barrel I got today must be their remaining stock. (a few days later, I made another Bionicle barrel hunt at various Toys R us, and drove home with 12,000 Bionicle pieces in the back of my car -30 barrels worth). I asked the TRU clerk how the sales were going and she said they only had a few customers so far, although this TRU is in an fairly economically depressed area filled mostly with recent immigrants…probably not the best store to assess the market for a $250 hand held game machine.

From there, I drive north to a Best Buy, where I purchase my “personal” PSP along with 3 games (Metal Gear Acid, Lumines, and Wipeout Pure). After waiting about 15 minutes to buy the PSP (Best Buy was only selling PSPs and PSP games from the customer service section of the store), I remarked to the clerk that it looked like they were about to run out of PSPs. He said while it looked like that, they actually still had another pallet of them inventory racks above the store floor.

It was now around 2 PM and I went Target, where they easily had 50 PSPs still in stock. I asked if I could buy two, and the clerk remarked that originally they were only supposed to sell one per customer but since they had plenty and sales were “slow”, they were told that they could sell two at a time. While I was there, I notice that they had PS2 Hard Drive/Final Fantasy X1 combo packs (to play the game, you need to have the optional PS2 hard drive, so they sell the two units in one package since it’s the only game (so far and likely ever) to use the PS2 hard drive attachment) had been marked down 75% (from $100 to $25 each). I promptly bought all four units, which should sell on Ebay for somewhere between $45-70. I then headed back towards home, but I stopped off again at the Target where I started the day and bought one final PSP, giving me a total selling number of 10 PSPs purchased at a total cost of approximately $2400. I had driven approximately 90 miles in my various travels in pursuit of PSPs.

Around 5 PM, I checked Ebay and now approximately 2800 PSP systems for sale. I checked again at 9 PM and there were approximately 3800 PSP systems listed. Most were selling above the $300 mark…some at $400 some at $200. One of the more interesting developments was that UK auctions for PSP games were doing quite well price wise…$40 US games were selling in the UK for 30 pounds or more ($57+), which was interesting since the PSP hasn’t been even been released in Europe…most likely UK early adopters who imported Japanese versions PSPs were looking for games with English text in them.

Over the last few days, it has become apparent that PSP launch has not become an immediate sellout, unlike the PS2 launch or the recent launch of the Nintendo DS. It is quite possible that Sony didn’t want to be short and actually produced what they said they would (1 million units available during the first month of the launch) and that the market wasn’t going to go insane over a $250 device launched three days before Easter. Supplies seem plentiful for the most part. I suspect that I should obtain net margins on my PSPs of about 10% for my Ebay sales. Supplies seem to be some what constrained in some areas of the US and many online retailers are requiring customers to buy “bundles” (PSPs with games and accessories sold at one price, usually starting at $350), and these online sellers can’t guarantee fast shipping. So there is still a narrow niche for Ebay sellers to sell to those who rather pay $40 over list to get it in two day for sure rather than to waste time driving around trying to find in a local store. So it is definite let down from my 60-80% net margins from my Nintendo DS sales last Christmas, but $25-30 net profit per item is OK by me….assuming I get them sold prior to the arrival of the credit card bills with the PSP purchases on them.

The market may soften as time progresses (or could tighten up if Sony doesn’t ship any more for the next few weeks), but the beauty of my approach is that I could technically return all the PSPs (except my personal one, which I already opened the packaging) under the stores standard return policies. Because of this, on paper, I actually have no inventory risk if the market completely tanks. All I would be out of would be the time and gas invested in the original purchases (and returns if necessary).

While this day was far from “average”, I did find myself thinking “This is tad unusual way to live your life” as My Bloody Valentine blared on my car’s stereo and I caluclated the most efficient routes between the various stores I planned to hit.

3/22/2005

The New Beef Bowl Games Journalism

There's been great deal of online chatter about the "the new games journalism" as of late (many sites linked to a piece recently in the Guardian (I'm no fan of the Guardian however) and I'm not sure what to make of it. I think that Jane at GameGirlAdvanced sums up the underlying question (What's so bad about "old games journalism"?) pretty well (and she even wrote one of the examples of New Journalism in the Guardian's piece).

Anyway, I bring this up because of this review I recently came across for a Japanese PS2 Game base on the Yoshinoya restaurant chain. The author is also listed in the Guardian piece for a long review on Metal Gear Solid 2:Sons of Liberty, which is just slightly less convoluted than the game itself (but I think the review is pretty good...not many reviews l've read compare the reviewed game to Haruki Murakami's writings). Yoshinoya is somewhat McDonalds-like in the the sense of it's ubiquity in Japanese society (although McDonalds are also ubiquitous in Japan). Yoshinoya sells relatively simple food fast and cheaply and it is known for its Gyudon, or beef bowl (shredded beef over rice). Interestingly enough, they’ve been having problems with providing their signature dish because of the J ban on US beef imports due to Mad Cow concerns. On the one year anniversary of pulling the gyudon off the menu (due to the US beef ban) they had a one day sale of it in Feb with people lining up around the block to eat it.

ANYWAY BACK TO THE MATTER AT HAND

The game sims working at/serving food in a Yoshinoya outlet. You have to deal with rushes and variable orders…if you fail to serve quickly and correctly, apparently the customers heads explode.

Here’s a few screen shots. The first has the place being stormed by hungry OLs (Office Ladies)..the second show a swelling head about to explode
Oddly enough, you’ll never see this game in the US. But do read the review if you have the time. It is quite good…

3/21/2005

Reason #239 to like Japan

Where else would you get this sort of thing?

Interestingly enough, it doesn't appear to be a part of a specific marketing tie-in of some sort (i.e., there's no new game coming out)...it is just celebrating Mario Brothers, although Pepsi is running several Nintendo themed promotions at the moment. http://www.pepsi.co.jp/campaign/nintendo/ It is rather just something cool and different to do to get people to buy the product. Although, different is maybe not the right word, since this type of promotion (trinkets on sodas) is not uncommon in Japan...Pepsi did something similar with bottle caps Star Wars: the Phantom Menace and I think even for the 70’s band Pink Lady. Also this type of thing seems to be done only for single item sales in convenience stores (conbini) and usually not in vending machines (for obvious reasons). FYI, multi-pack packages seem to be rare to non-existent in Japan from my shopping experiences. So it would appear that most consumption is a single serving type, although that serving could be anywhere from 150 to 500 mls. And before you think, "Hey, I bet you could just feel the cap to figure out what's under the foil cover...", the odds are that it will be wrapped in cardboard to disguise the shape.

But even more interesting is this.....Buy a bottle of soda, get 4 meters of package sealing Super Mario tape. I'm a big enough dork that I might even buy Diet Pepsi to get one of these. Man, why can't we have things like this in the US? I am sure some of it has to do with the difference in the expectations/operational realities of the marketplaces, it might also have to do with the fact that those 1.5 liter bottles cost usually cost between $2 (on sale) to $3.45 (full price) in Japan, while US bottlers have long struggled to try to get beyond the $1-1.50 price point for 2 liters.

Although my interest this might be saying something about me, since I'm highly certain that I am one of the few men who have ever bought this item...although I haven't been brave enough to actually use it yet http://www.kawaiigifts.com/catalog/item/1517023/993697.htm

3/14/2005

Ippai C C Lemon

http://www.japander.com/

This is a web site that shows J TV ads staring western stars pitching Japanese products to Japanese folks. Many of the ads are a bit old, but are still interesting…Madonna pushing booze, Spike Lee pushing a Mazda hatchback….Most of the ads have the stars speaking in English but a few have the stars speaking a couple words in Japanese.

http://www.japander.com/japander/simpson.htm

But my favorite is the Simpsons ads for CC Lemon, a lemon soft drink. The Simpsons are not terribly popular in Japan…they are only shown on Satellite TV and one would think that a great deal of the humor would not translate well, both due to cultural context (How many J folks are going to get Roy Cohn jokes? How many Americans actually get those jokes in the first place?) and I don’t think irony and sarcasm fit well in the basic Japanese mindset. I can only imagine how this was handled-Bart and Lisa are commenting on a cartoon on flag burning that’s a take off of School House Rock’s “I’m Just a Bill”
Bart: What the hell is this?
Lisa: It's one of those campy "70's" throwbacks that appeals to Generation "X"ers.
Bart: We need another Vietnam to thin out their ranks a little.

But since Homer is pretty dumb, the base humor gets through in any language. And that is what is highlighted in these ads....and now that I think about it, the US butterfinger commericals were similar in this way as well.

3/13/2005

Hello Kitty Psychological Test

Why spend all that money and time with head shrinkers when you can have it done by loveable Hello Kitty in just a matter of seconds and at no cost.

Straight from Sanrio's website...
It is the Hello Kitty Psychological Test

However, I don't know if I buy into my assessment. At this moment, my life is astoundingly free of stress for the most part. I'm half surprised that it doesn't suggest specific HK merch to cheer me up or that I should spend more time thinking how I should be more like Badtz Maru.

It's 2005...Where's my Yul Brenner robot with a bad attitude, dammit!

There was an interesting story (a fairly rare occurrence but at least it was on the front page) in Thursday's TWP. Done by the TWP's main J correspondent, it talks about Japan's focus on the development of new robots focused on serving personal needs.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A25394-2005Mar10?l

TOKYO -- Ms. Saya, a perky receptionist in a smart canary-yellow suit, beamed a smile from behind the "May I Help You?" sign on her desk, offering greetings and answering questions posed by visitors at a local university. But when she failed to welcome a workman who had just walked by, a professor stormed up to Saya and dished out a harsh reprimand.

"You're so stupid!" said the professor, Hiroshi Kobayashi, towering over her desk.

Cyber-receptionist Ms. Saya greets Hiroshi Kobayashi, her inventor, at the Tokyo University of Science. "She has a temper," the professor cautions.

"Eh?" she responded, her face wrinkling into a scowl. "I tell you, I am not stupid!"

Truth is, Saya isn't even human. But in a country where robots are changing the way people live, work, play and even love, that doesn't stop Saya the cyber-receptionist from defending herself from men who are out of line. With voice recognition technology allowing 700 verbal responses and an almost infinite number of facial expressions from joy to despair, surprise to rage, Saya may not be biological -- but she is nobody's fool.


Related to the story was a very amusing photo from Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi is holding/pawing a seal robot that is designed to interact with lonely old people.

3/06/2005

Three pieces from Friday's Mainichi Shimbun

While other papers might have haughty stories about problems in the Sudan and the end of house building controls in Loudoun County, the Mainichi's Daily News English website always serves up a nice bowl of J crime and scandal. Written in a straightforward journalistic style (sometimes to such a degree to be almost deadpan) it makes for an interesting read. This is an example of the style- “A man poured kerosene oil over a junior high school student and set him alight, leaving the boy with burns to his leg, police said. A local resident in Koga alerted police shortly after 5 p.m. on Monday, saying, "A man poured kerosene oil on a junior high school student and set him alight." Officers raced to the scene to find the 14-year-old boy had suffered burns to his right leg that will require two weeks to heal. "An unknown man set me on fire," the boy said, prompting officers to launch a hunt for the culprit.”

Below are three stories from Friday's edition....


Woman tackles armed robber to stop theft of Louis Vuitton purse
A woman overpowered a male robber, sustaining minor injuries as she did so, because she could not bear the thought of having her Louis Vuitton purse stolen, police said Saturday.
"He was trying to run away with my handbag, which contained my precious Louis Vuitton purse," she said. "I wasn't letting him go anywhere."
http://mdn.mainichi.co.jp/news/archive/200503/05/20050305p2a00m0dm007000c.html


Sex-romp Satoya stripped again -- this time of World Cup team spot
Shamed Olympic gold medallist Tae Satoya, arrested after throwing a drunken tantrum because bouncers interrupted her while she was having sex in a Roppongi nightclub, has been dropped from the Japanese World Cup team, Ski Association of Japan officials said.
Shukan Bunshun reported that a screaming Satoya threw glasses, kicked tables and chairs, and ended up injuring a bouncer when he tried to stop her from having sex with a foreign man whose pants were down on the sofa in the VIP room.
http://mdn.mainichi.co.jp/news/archive/200503/05/20050305p2a00m0dm001001c.html
(edit)...it seems that much of this story is now in serious dispute and that the club's management may have provoked the entire episode and significant rumor mongering occurred afterwards
http://mdn.mainichi.co.jp/news/archive/200503/16/20050316p2a00m0dm006004c.html


Baby in bottle haunts dark side of Tokyo
…inside the jar was the fully formed fetus of an aborted human baby.
But cops are shocked by the mysterious nature of the find. At first glance, the baby's body appears to show little sign of contamination. The liquid in which it had been stored remains a mystery. And, perhaps most shockingly, the jar in which the fetus was found is of the sort typically used to store foodstuffs.
"It was one of the glass jars you can buy anywhere to keep things like jam or pickles in," a Metropolitan Police Department insider tells Asahi Geino. "It had a label for herbs on it."
http://mdn.mainichi.co.jp/waiwai/0503/04fetus.html


With stories like this, I can somehow understand how so many newspapers manage to exist in Japan.

3/04/2005

NYT Circuits: Soon to be disconnected?

According to the NY Post, the NYT is planning to eliminate the Thursday Circuits section and replace it with new section focusing on shopping, fashion and fitness.

While the NYT's Thursday Circuits section has long been an awkward child in appearance and tone, it was a section I actually made a point to read. It wasn't as haughty as the Tuesday Science section (yeah, 45 column inches on something about quasars...Yo Dog,! I'm so on that crazy mad particle physics!) but it did, on rare occation, have some good pieces (I frequently liked the last page of the section where they often had large scale diagrams explaining various aspects of new-ish consumer technology). However, other times you picked up and wondered if they were based in some abandoned missile silo in North Dakota that only got a UPS shipment of items to review every six months….Last year, a big piece on how great this new development called USB was particularly painful to read.

However, I must admit that I loved reading the video game reviews. They were frequently just so clueless to be amusing along with the overall bemusing thought of the Gray Lady spilling ink on zombie games. I somehow suspect that some general staff meeting, an editor asked “Hey, do any of you play video games?” and one writer poked up his hand and one of the editors said “Great, you’re our new video game reviewer in Circuits.” While the reviews were frequently quite earnest and it is pretty amazing that NYT actually had a half page just for video game reviews, the actual output, in my opinion, was fairly lame. The reviewer would review several games (often of vastly different types) in a single piece, often trying to make connections that were weak or fairly tenuous such as here. And while it was nice to read reviews done by an actual adult and written for adults in mind, I found that reviews were often a bit simplistic or that were wrong when it came to certain technical aspects. I was also annoyed when a reviewer gushed about the "innovative" controls on Katamari Damacy when the same two stick control method has been in use since Atari’s coin op tank games from the late 70’s and almost every tank game coin op since then.

However, it is possible that the reviewer might just be moved to Circuits rumored replacement, a very TWP Sunday Source sounding section focusing on shopping, fashion and fitness…which I find some what amusing, since the TWP’s Sunday Source is the only newspaper section that seems to have more promo ad space (ie, ad space not sold) than the NYT’s Circuits section.